As we transition into November 2026, global maritime logistics networks are showing gradual signs of operational improvement. However, persistent congestion across key African gateways, vessel schedule disruptions and landside bottlenecks continue to challenge international supply chains.
While terminal conditions across several Asian hubs are gradually stabilising, shipping lines continue to manage network imbalances caused by adverse weather, blank sailings, vessel diversions and ongoing route recovery initiatives.
For South African importers and exporters, proactive planning, early bookings and careful management of freight costs remain essential. Below is our latest global ocean freight market update, including the Durban terminal operational outlook, surcharge adjustments and regional trade lane conditions for November.
Global Ocean Freight Market Overview
Global shipping networks continue to experience schedule instability as carriers work to restore reliability across major international trade lanes. Although some ports are showing improvements in terminal productivity, the wider shipping network remains under pressure.
Several key factors are shaping the November shipping outlook, including:
• Global vessel schedules operating below historical reliability levels.
• Severe congestion and operational backlogs at major African gateways.
• Gradual recovery across Far East Asian export hubs.
• Blank sailings, vessel omissions and localised equipment shortages.
• European inland transport constraints and potential industrial action.
• Maritime security concerns resulting in Middle East rerouting.
Disruptions in one region can affect vessel availability, container equipment positioning, transshipment connections and arrival schedules elsewhere. Consequently, improvements at individual ports do not necessarily translate into immediate improvements across the entire shipping network.
For businesses moving cargo internationally, realistic transit expectations and regular communication with freight partners will be particularly important throughout November.
Freight Costs and Surcharge Adjustments
Ongoing terminal delays, vessel schedule disruptions and global capacity constraints are contributing to adjustments in ocean freight surcharges.
Carriers have introduced or adjusted Peak Season Surcharges (PSS) and Port Congestion Surcharges (PCS) to address additional operational costs associated with delays, congestion and blank sailing interventions.
Far East Asia to South Africa: Surcharge Advisory
The following surcharge adjustments have been indicated for shipments moving from Far East Asia to South Africa, effective 9 November 2026:
20-foot dry container: USD 1,000
40-foot dry container: USD 2,000
These adjustments relate to the Far East Asia to South Africa trade lane. Shippers should confirm the applicable charges, charging basis, currency, contractual terms and quotation validity with their freight representative or carrier before finalising shipment commitments.
These figures should not automatically be interpreted as the complete freight rate or total landed shipping cost. Other applicable charges may depend on the carrier, routing, shipment terms and service requirements.
What These Surcharge Changes Mean for Businesses
Additional freight charges can affect shipment budgets, landed costs and the commercial planning of international cargo.
Businesses importing from Asia should review current quotations and shipping agreements, confirm which charges apply to their bookings and assess whether revised freight costs affect their purchasing or delivery commitments.
Shippers should consider the following:
• Review carrier surcharge notifications and quotation validity periods.
• Confirm whether PSS, PCS or other additional charges apply.
• Check free-time allowances and potential demurrage or detention exposure.
• Allow for schedule changes when planning inventory replenishment.
• Assess alternative routing and multimodal options where feasible.
Confirming costs in advance can help businesses reduce unexpected expenses and make more informed logistics decisions.
Durban Terminal Operational Alert
Ongoing Congestion and Infrastructure Constraints
Durban remains a major operational concern for cargo moving into South Africa and the wider Southern African region.
Severe congestion continues across terminal yards. Infrastructure bottlenecks, recurring heavy equipment mechanical failures, high yard density and vessel bunching are placing considerable pressure on terminal performance.
The operational outlook provided for November indicates the following anticipated delays:
• Pier 1: Delays of approximately 7–10 days.
• Durban Container Terminal (DCT) / Durban Gateway Terminal (DGT): Backlogs of approximately 10–16 days.
These are indicative operational estimates and not guaranteed waiting times for individual vessels or shipments. Actual conditions may vary depending on terminal operations, vessel arrival patterns, cargo volumes, equipment availability and landside access.
Additional Risks to Landside Logistics
High container dwell times and restricted terminal gate access are expected to continue challenging landside logistics through November.
Potential consequences include:
• Delays in container collection and cargo release.
• Disrupted truck scheduling and transport planning.
• Pressure on warehouse receiving and delivery schedules.
• Greater uncertainty around inventory availability.
• Potential additional storage, demurrage and detention costs, depending on the shipment and applicable terms.
Businesses moving cargo through Durban should avoid relying solely on standard transit assumptions and should allow for the possibility of extended delays.
R&S Freight Strategic Action Advisory
Given the combination of terminal backlogs, vessel schedule instability and increasing surcharge pressure, R&S Freight & Logistics recommends a proactive approach to shipment planning.
1. Submit Bookings Earlier
Where possible, submit booking requests at least 4–6 weeks before the target cargo availability date. Early submissions provide more time to coordinate vessel space, equipment, documentation and shipment requirements. However, early booking does not guarantee space or eliminate the risk of delays.
2. Maintain Flexible Routing Options
Where commercially and operationally feasible, consider alternative routing strategies and regional gateway options. Assess each alternative against total cost, transit time, cargo handling requirements, customs procedures and inland transport availability.
3. Build Realistic Transit Buffers
Allow additional time for vessel delays, terminal backlogs, transshipment changes, customs clearance and final delivery. Businesses handling time-sensitive cargo should communicate potential delays to suppliers, customers and receiving facilities as early as possible.
4. Review Freight Costs and Contractual Terms
Confirm applicable PSS, PCS and other carrier charges before finalising shipment budgets. Review free-time provisions, demurrage and detention terms, and the validity of existing freight quotations.
5. Monitor Shipments Proactively
Maintain regular communication with your freight representative and monitor booking confirmations, vessel schedules, transshipment connections and changes to estimated arrival dates.
The key recommendation for November is simple: plan earlier, retain flexibility and budget for a less predictable transit environment.
Regional Trade Lane Breakdown and Outlook
Conditions differ significantly across global shipping corridors. Understanding the regional outlook can help businesses anticipate potential disruptions and make better-informed routing decisions.
Africa: Persistent Gateway Backlogs
Major gateways across Southern and Western Africa continue to experience widespread operational backlogs. Infrastructure limitations, equipment deficits and high terminal yard density are restricting operational performance.
Durban remains a significant risk to transit reliability for cargo moving into the region.
Businesses shipping through South African and neighbouring regional gateways should plan for potential delays, maintain realistic delivery windows and assess alternative routing options where appropriate.
Asia: Gradual Recovery with Continued Schedule Changes
Terminal productivity across key Asian hubs is progressing towards more regular operating conditions following recent extreme weather disruptions.
Major Chinese export ports are gradually easing backlogs. However, carriers continue to implement tactical blank sailings and port rotation modifications. Singapore remains exposed to transshipment backlogs and extended vessel connections.
Although conditions are improving in parts of Asia, exporters and importers should continue monitoring vessel schedules, equipment availability and transshipment arrangements. Improved terminal productivity does not guarantee an uninterrupted shipment.
Europe: Generally Fluid Operations with Localised Risks
Most Northern European hubs are operating relatively fluidly, with Antwerp maintaining strong gateway reliability.
However, labour contract renewals and potential industrial action create disruption risks in parts of Southern Europe. Inland transport networks also face pressure from barge capacity constraints and low river water levels.
Businesses moving cargo through Europe should monitor port-specific labour developments and assess the availability of inland transport connections, particularly for shipments dependent on barge movements.
Middle East: Rerouting and Transit Volatility
Maritime security concerns and regional geopolitical tensions continue to influence shipping line deployment strategies. Rerouting and adjustments to vessel service loops remain part of carrier network planning.
These changes can extend sailing distances, alter vessel schedules and introduce uncertainty into transit times across major Asia–Europe trade lanes.
Shippers should confirm current routing arrangements and allow flexibility for changes to vessel schedules and transshipment connections rather than relying solely on historical transit times.
Indian Sub-Continent: Moderate Congestion
Ports across the Indian sub-continent are experiencing moderate congestion, localised capacity pressure and schedule recovery delays.
Major West Coast Indian port complexes, including Mundra, Nhava Sheva and Hazira, are expected to remain under moderate strain. The outlook provided indicates that severe congestion is considered unlikely, while equipment availability is expected to remain broadly sufficient apart from occasional localised shortages.
Businesses shipping through these gateways should continue monitoring booking space, equipment availability and vessel schedules. Moderate congestion can still affect individual shipments even when widespread disruption is not anticipated.
Americas: Generally Stable Operations
Marine terminals across North and South America are experiencing comparatively stable and fluid operating conditions. Some isolated weather-related issues have occurred, but widespread system-wide congestion has not been identified in this outlook.
The region is expected to remain broadly stable to moderately disrupted, with most ports operating normally outside localised weather events or carrier network imbalances.
Shippers should continue monitoring local port conditions, weather developments and carrier schedule changes throughout the booking and transit process.
Key Considerations for November 2026
The November outlook reinforces the importance of managing international freight as a connected supply chain rather than relying on port conditions or vessel schedules in isolation.
Before confirming upcoming shipments, businesses should consider the following:
• Booking lead times: Aim to submit booking requests 4–6 weeks before target cargo availability where possible.
• Freight budgets: Confirm applicable surcharges and review quotation validity before committing to shipment costs.
• Transit planning: Build realistic buffers for terminal delays, vessel schedule changes and transshipment uncertainty.
• Routing flexibility: Assess alternative routes when appropriate, taking total landed cost and operational feasibility into account.
• Cargo readiness: Coordinate production, packing, documentation and collection dates to reduce avoidable delays.
• Shipment visibility: Maintain communication with your freight representative and respond promptly to changes in schedules or requirements.
These measures cannot eliminate disruption, but they can help businesses make informed decisions and reduce the risk of preventable supply chain complications.
Looking Ahead: Keep Your Supply Chain Moving
The global ocean freight market is showing signs of gradual operational recovery in selected regions, but significant challenges remain. African gateway congestion, particularly in Durban, continues to place pressure on transit reliability, while carrier schedule changes, regional rerouting and surcharge adjustments are affecting international shipping plans.
For South African businesses importing and exporting in November 2026, early bookings, accurate cost planning, flexible routing strategies and realistic delivery expectations are essential.
R&S Freight & Logistics remains focused on helping businesses navigate changing freight conditions with informed planning and logistics support.
If you have upcoming shipments or would like to discuss how current market conditions could affect your cargo, contact your dedicated R&S Freight & Logistics account representative to discuss your requirements.
Stay informed. Plan ahead. Keep your supply chain moving.
For more information, contact us at info@rsfreight.co.za